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Tech operator, ex-investment banking, with active VC experience.
Portfolio
Oct 28, 2026
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1 min read
The holding we added to yesterday reported record revenue and margins, and the share fell. We think the reaction is short-term and add again.
Oct 27, 2026
2 min read
We have added to a core holding the day before its quarterly report. The share has drifted lower into the release, and we see no sign the growth trajectory has changed.
Better Collective (BETCO)
+1
Oct 26, 2026
Brazilian voters closed Better Collective's quickest way back into Brazil on Sunday. Lula won, and the betting industry lost its plan A.
Coffee Stain (COFFEEB)
+3
Oct 24, 2026
Kristoffer joined Rich Howe on the Stock Spin-off Investing Podcast to talk Coffee Stain, plus Asmodee, Embracer and the coming Fellowship spin-off. In English.
Oct 5, 2026
6 min read
The portfolio returned 6.3% in September and is up 14.4% since it started on 22 January 2026.
Oct 1, 2026
9 min read
Coffee Stain used its first Big Break Showcase to announce Satisfactory's first paid expansion, date an October to December slate and set a paid Deep Rock Galactic DLC for summer 2027. We map every announcement that drives revenue and profit, size the expansion and set it against consensus.
+2
Sep 29, 2026
Kristoffer joined EFN for a video interview about Coffee Stain, Better Collective, and the Brazilian iGaming market. Sadly, in Swedish; apologies to all English readers.
Sep 28, 2026
5 min read
On Friday, September 25, President Lula signed Provisional Measure 1,394, which took effect when it was published the same day. This will have a severe effect on Better Collective.
Sep 24, 2026
Additional content is being published before the showcase release, and Coffee Stain recently released a teaser video strongly indicating that Satisfactory will have a paid DLC coming up
Sep 23, 2026
We have increased our position further in one of our portfolio's core holdings. The market seems to ignore an upcoming near-term catalyst, and we think this is a good time to put even more chips on the table.
Sep 17, 2026
3 min read
Coffee Stain has announced “The Big Break Showcase” on September 29 at 19:00 CEST on YouTube with an IGN co-stream. The show will feature major announcements for its biggest franchises: Satisfactory, Goat Simulator, Deep Rock Galactic, Teardown, and Lightyear Frontier, as well as Ghost Ship Publishing.
Sep 11, 2026
Valheim (published by Coffee Stain and developed by Iron Gate Studios) formally exited early access with the 1.0 release on September 9 on Steam, PS5, and Switch. Reviews and user data continue to show Valheim's strength; let's look at the data.
Smart Eye (SEYE)
Sep 7, 2026
Unsound communication, disappointing Q2, deteriorating incremental margins, and price-implied expectations.
Aug 27, 2026
We take advantage of a temporary share price weakness
This portfolio holding just saw a major insider increase their position, we do the same.
Today we exited a speculative position in a company we took ahead of an anticipated breakthrough quarter, which did not materialize.
Aug 24, 2026
Smart Eye (SEYE) is releasing its Q2’26 earnings report on August 26.
Deep Dive
Aug 21, 2026
17 min read
Coffee Stain (COFFEEB) is a spin-off from the Swedish video gaming group Embracer (EMBRACB). Since its listing on the Nasdaq Stockholm First North on December 11, the share is down about 30%. We believe this drawdown is mainly due to mechanical selling from large index-focused investors that owned Embracer.
Aug 14, 2026
A company we recently added to the portfolio is having one of its best days in a long time, up +5% today.
Embracer Group (EMBRACB)
Aug 13, 2026
Aug 12, 2026
28 min read
Smart Eye is entering harvest season after the 10-year drought.
Aug 11, 2026
Today, Seeing Machines (SEE) released its KPI figures for Q4 FY26. These numbers are highly important and are the best way to track the DMS car production ramp-up.
Aug 10, 2026
We added a new speculative position in a company that might not look attractively valued at first glance. But during a deep dive, we have been able to get a good grasp of the upcoming revenue growth surge.
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Note
Aug 7, 2026
7 min read
This morning, it was disclosed that Alta Fox Capital, the activist fund from Texas with a previous history in Nordic public companies, has taken a 0.79% stake in Asmodee worth around SEK 306m.